Dumfries, Virginia.
Typical home $585,880 (+0.8% in a year), asking rent $2,901 (+5.3%). Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro.
to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$1,573 (+105%) since Jan 2020.
- 1 year
- Up $4,443 +1%
- $581,437$585,880 since Sep 2025
- 5 years
- Up $92,383 +19%
- $493,497$585,880 since Sep 2021
Monthly payment to buy the typical home
Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.
- Dumfries$3,075
- Virginia$2,164
- United States$1,922
At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 20 years.
Typical home values in Dumfries, VA rose 0.8% over the past year — slower than the nation's +1.2%.
Asking rents in Dumfries, VA rose 5.3% over the past year — faster than the nation's +2.7%.
Owning the typical home in Dumfries runs $1,262/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $1,591 in Oct 2023.
That is $4,163 a month against $2,901 rent: a $3,075 mortgage payment, plus $460 property tax and $627 insurance & upkeep.
Owning vs renting — Dumfries
The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.
- Owning all in$4,163
- Renting$2,901
- Mortgage only$3,075
Property tax · $460/mo 0.94% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for Prince William County, VA
Insurance & upkeep · $627/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.
Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.
Living in Dumfries, Prince William County, Virginia
Dumfries is a town of 5,679 people in Prince William County. 78% of its homes are lived in by their owners and 22% are rented. Unemployment in Prince William County was 3.4% in August 2026, and the county had 2.0% more jobs in 2025 than the year before. The most residents work in restaurants and hotels, then professional services.
Written by AI Claude Sonnet 5.5 wrote this on 23 October 2026 from the figures here, a list of nearby places and what it knows. It can be wrong or out of date.
What it’s like
The place. Dumfries is a small town on the Virginia side of the Washington area, with a younger population than many places that size and home values and rents that run well above what you would find in much of the country. Most homes are lived in by their owners, and fewer residents live below the poverty line than you might expect. Winters are cold, with some snow, and summers are warm, with rain spread through the year.
Work. Residents work mostly in restaurants, hotels and entertainment, in professional and business services, in schools, hospitals and social care, and in government. In Dumfries itself, Colonial Downs Group, which runs casino hotels, Community Concepts, which operates group homes, and a Wawa convenience store are among the largest workplaces. Commutes are long, and a modest share of residents work from home.
Things to do. The town sits within a longer drive of the museums and memorials of Washington, D.C. The National Mall is the best known, a long park lined with monuments, and the Smithsonian Institution's museums, including the National Museum of Natural History, are nearby on the same trip. Ford's Theatre is another historic stop in the city, also a longer drive away.
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- 1,759households
- 24%of adults have a degree
- 5%below the poverty line
- 36 mintypical commute
- 13%work from home
What residents work in
Employed residents by industry, from the Census survey. Prince William County had 146,171 jobs in 2025, 2.0% more than the year before (Bureau of Labor Statistics).
Weather through the year
Coldest in January, with highs near 45° and lows near 28°; warmest in July, with highs near 88° and lows near 71°. About 12 inches of snow and 41 inches of rain and melted snow a year.
Average daily high and low, 1991–2020, at the Quantico Mcas weather station, 5 miles away (NOAA).
Largest workplaces in Dumfries
- Colonial Downs GroupCasino hotels415
- Community ConceptsGroup homes, intellectual and developmental disability323
- Wawa SiteConvenience store37
Staff on average in 2025, as each workplace reported it to OSHA with its injury records: 3 workplaces with 20 or more staff, 775 people in all. Not listed: many offices and banks, which need not report to OSHA; military bases, whose staff OPM withholds; and, in about half the states, city and county governments.
Natural hazards
- Winter weatherRelatively moderate
- Heat wavesRelatively moderate
- LightningRelatively moderate
- Strong windRelatively moderate
FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the risk each natural hazard poses to the people, buildings and farms in Dumfries’ census tracts, against the rest of the country; all of them together, very low. It is meant for planning, not a substitute for a local risk assessment or a flood map: FEMA’s index.
From the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2020 census and its American Community Survey (2020–2024 five-year estimates), and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A survey, so each figure has a margin of error, and figures it is not sure of are left out. More on Prince William County and the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro.
Dumfries home values
Zillow measures a city over its municipal boundary. Against the state and national figures, mid-tier homes, smoothed and seasonally adjusted.
- Dumfries$585,880
- Virginia$412,252
- United States$366,157
Levy by levy, and a check of one home’s own bill, the site covers Ohio’s property tax.
Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 3 Dumfries listings, and the typical home goes pending in 26 days — the market is roughly in balance.
When this market ran hot
Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.
Market heat, inside the city limits
Share of listings with a price cut
The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.
- Dumfries34.16%
- United States26.90%
Days to pending
How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.
- Dumfries26
- United States27
Homes for sale
Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.
- Dumfries116
New listings per month
Sellers arriving at the market.
- Dumfries39
Median sale price
What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.
- Dumfries$595,942
- United States$371,407
Sale-to-list ratio
Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.
- Dumfries100.00%
Zip codes with a Dumfries address
A different geography, not a breakdown. The figure above covers the municipality; these zips cover everywhere the Post Office calls Dumfries — often including townships beyond the city limits. Both come straight from Zillow, and they are not expected to average out.
Zip codes in Dumfries
| Zip activate to sort by Zip | Place activate to sort by Place | Population sorted descending, activate to sort ascending | Rent activate to sort by Rent | Home value activate to sort by Home value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22026 | Dumfries | 22,897 | $3,111 | $573,407 |
| 22025 | Dumfries | 19,356 | $2,636 | $574,711 |