States · Virginia · Fairfax County

Herndon, Virginia.

Typical home $722,139 (+0.8% in a year), asking rent $2,382 (+1.0%). Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro.

What it costs per month · Herndon $3,790/mo

to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$1,824 (+93%) since Jan 2020.

What the home itself did
1 year
Up $5,873 +1%
$716,266$722,139 since Sep 2025
5 years
Up $104,873 +17%
$617,266$722,139 since Sep 2021

Monthly payment to buy the typical home

Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.

$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Herndon $3,790 Virginia $2,164 United States $1,922
$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 $4,000 2002 2010 2018 2026
  • Herndon$3,790
  • Virginia$2,164
  • United States$1,922

At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 22 years.

Typical home values in Herndon, VA rose 0.8% over the past year — slower than the nation's +1.2%.

Asking rents in Herndon, VA rose 1.0% over the past year — slower than the nation's +2.7%.

Owning the typical home in Herndon runs $2,787/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $2,925 in Jan 2025.

That is $5,169 a month against $2,382 rent: a $3,790 mortgage payment, plus $605 property tax and $773 insurance & upkeep.

Owning vs renting — Herndon

The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.

$2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Owning all in $5,169 Renting $2,382 Mortgage only $3,790
$2,000 $3,000 $4,000 $5,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Owning all in$5,169
  • Renting$2,382
  • Mortgage only$3,790

Property tax · $605/mo 1.01% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for Fairfax County, VA

Insurance & upkeep · $773/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.

Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.

Living in Herndon, Fairfax County, Virginia

Herndon is a town of 24,655 people in Fairfax County. Half its households earn more than $148,000 a year and half less, against $153,637 across Fairfax County; 8% of its people live below the poverty line. 62% of its homes are lived in by their owners and 38% are rented. Unemployment in Herndon was 3.1% in August 2026, and Fairfax County had 0.3% fewer jobs in 2025 than the year before. The most residents work in professional services, then schools and health care.

People 24,655 in the 2020 census; median age 35.1
Household income $148,000 the median, give or take $18,469 · Fairfax County: $153,637
Unemployment 3.1% Herndon, August 2026; 3.0% a year before
Homes 62% lived in by their owners; 38% rented

Written by AI Claude Sonnet 5.5 wrote this on 23 October 2026 from the figures here, a list of nearby places and what it knows. It can be wrong or out of date.

What it’s like

The place. Herndon is a town in Fairfax County, Virginia, in the Washington region. Residents are somewhat younger than in much of the country, and household incomes are a little below the county's, though well above what many places see. Most homes are lived in by their owners, and typical home values and rents are high, in keeping with the rest of Northern Virginia. A large share of adults hold a four-year degree, and commutes are on the longer side, with a fair number of people working from home.

Work. Many residents work in professional and business services, in schools, hospitals and social care, in restaurants and hotels, and in the building trades. Among the largest workplaces in Herndon are Everfox Holdings, a custom software company, GAP Solutions, a management consulting firm, and The Boeing Company. Unemployment is low and has barely changed from a year ago, while jobs across Fairfax County have dipped slightly.

Things to do. The closest big draw is the Steven F. Udvar-Hazy Center, a museum of aviation and space a short drive away. A longer drive takes you into Washington, to the National Mall and the Smithsonian's museums, including the National Museum of Natural History. Winters are cold, with some snow, and summers are warm, so the Mall suits the milder seasons best.

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  • 7,796households
  • 53%of adults have a degree
  • 8%below the poverty line
  • 28 mintypical commute
  • 21%work from home

What residents work in

  • Professional and business services31%
  • Schools, hospitals and social care12%
  • Restaurants, hotels and entertainment8%
  • Building trades8%
  • Shops (retail)8%
  • Government7%

Employed residents by industry, from the Census survey. Fairfax County had 634,638 jobs in 2025, 0.3% fewer than the year before (Bureau of Labor Statistics).

Weather through the year

Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in January, 43° and 25°; warmest in July, 88° and 67° 20° 40° 60° 80° J 43° 25° F M A M J J 88° 67° A S O N D
Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in January, 43° and 25°; warmest in July, 88° and 67° 20° 40° 60° 80° J 43° 25° F M A M J J 88° 67° A S O N D

Coldest in January, with highs near 43° and lows near 25°; warmest in July, with highs near 88° and lows near 67°. About 21 inches of snow and 43 inches of rain and melted snow a year.

Average daily high and low, 1991–2020, at the Washington Dc Dulles Airport weather station, 5 miles away (NOAA).

Largest workplaces in Herndon

  1. Everfox HoldingsApplications software programming services, custom computer615
  2. GAP SolutionsAdministrative management consulting services539
  3. The Boeing CompanyBroadcast equipment, for radio and television, manufacturing299
  4. TransdevLocal transit system242
  5. Transportation Security AdministrationFederal government · Department of Homeland Security185
  6. Smartronix - HerndonSystems integration design services, computer168
  7. Cyberspace SolutionsSecurity consulting services163
  8. Q International Courier LLC. HRVCouriers express delivery services158

Staff on average in 2025, as each workplace reported it to OSHA with its injury records: 22 workplaces with 20 or more staff, 3,161 people in all. Federal offices come from OPM's federal workforce data (2026). Not listed: many offices and banks, which need not report to OSHA; military bases, whose staff OPM withholds; and, in about half the states, city and county governments.

Natural hazards

  1. Winter weatherRelatively high
  2. Lightningrelatively high in parts of HerndonRelatively moderate
  3. Heat wavesRelatively moderate
  4. Strong windRelatively moderate

FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the risk each natural hazard poses to the people, buildings and farms in Herndon’s census tracts, against the rest of the country; all of them together, relatively low. It is meant for planning, not a substitute for a local risk assessment or a flood map: FEMA’s index.

From the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2020 census and its American Community Survey (2020–2024 five-year estimates), and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A survey, so each figure has a margin of error, and figures it is not sure of are left out. More on Fairfax County and the Washington-Arlington-Alexandria, DC-VA-MD-WV metro.

Herndon home values

Zillow measures a city over its municipal boundary. Against the state and national figures, mid-tier homes, smoothed and seasonally adjusted.

$250,000 $500,000 $750,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Herndon $722,139 Virginia $412,252 United States $366,157
$250,000 $500,000 $750,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon$722,139
  • Virginia$412,252
  • United States$366,157
Property tax, 2026 roll $8,009/yr median bill inside Herndon, effective 1.03% of estimated value — current assessment rolls, AssessorSearch Data Lab, quality-gated against the county's official figures

Levy by levy, and a check of one home’s own bill, the site covers Ohio’s property tax.

Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 3 Herndon listings, and the typical home goes pending in 18 days — the market is roughly in balance.

When this market ran hot

Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.

JFMAMJJASOND
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
falling flat warming hot overheating runaway

Market heat, inside the city limits

Share of listings with a price cut

The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.

10% 20% 30% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon 30.13% United States 26.90%
10% 20% 30% 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon30.13%
  • United States26.90%

Days to pending

How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.

10 20 30 40 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon 18 United States 27
10 20 30 40 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon18
  • United States27

Homes for sale

Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.

50 100 150 200 250 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon 188
50 100 150 200 250 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon188

New listings per month

Sellers arriving at the market.

50 100 150 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon 80
50 100 150 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon80

Median sale price

What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.

$250,000 $500,000 $750,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon $691,012 United States $371,407
$250,000 $500,000 $750,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon$691,012
  • United States$371,407

Sale-to-list ratio

Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.

98% 100% 102% 104% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Herndon 100.10%
98% 100% 102% 104% 2018 2022 2026
  • Herndon100.10%

Zip codes with a Herndon address

A different geography, not a breakdown. The figure above covers the municipality; these zips cover everywhere the Post Office calls Herndon — often including townships beyond the city limits. Both come straight from Zillow, and they are not expected to average out.

Zip codes in Herndon