States · OK · metro

Duncan, Oklahoma.

Is it a buyer's or a seller's market? Six dials, updated monthly — speed, supply and seller behaviour, not just prices.

Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 4 Duncan listings, and the typical home goes pending in 51 days — the market is cooling.

Zillow's own model expects Duncan home values to change -0.4% over the year to Sep 2027. A forecast, not a promise — it is revised every month, and Zillow publishes it with that caveat.

What it costs per month · Duncan $732/mo

to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$406 (+124%) since Jan 2020.

What the home itself did
1 year
Up $4,140 +3%
$135,320$139,459 since Sep 2025
5 years
Up $32,934 +31%
$106,526$139,459 since Sep 2021

Monthly payment to buy the typical home

Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.

$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Duncan $732 United States $1,922
$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2002 2010 2018 2026
  • Duncan$732
  • United States$1,922

At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 13 years.

Typical home values in Duncan, OK rose 3.1% over the past year — faster than the nation's +1.2%.

Owning the typical home in Duncan runs $25/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $49 in Aug 2026.

That is $960 a month against $935 rent: a $732 mortgage payment, plus $79 property tax and $149 insurance & upkeep.

Owning vs renting — Duncan

The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.

$700 $800 $900 2026 Owning all in $960 Renting $935 Mortgage only $732
$700 $800 $900 2026
  • Owning all in$960
  • Renting$935
  • Mortgage only$732

Property tax · $79/mo 0.68% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for Stephens County, OK

Insurance & upkeep · $149/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.

Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.

When this market ran hot

Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.

JFMAMJJASOND
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
falling flat warming hot overheating runaway

Share of listings with a price cut

The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.

10% 15% 20% 25% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Duncan 23.05% United States 26.90%
10% 15% 20% 25% 2018 2022 2026
  • Duncan23.05%
  • United States26.90%

Days to pending

How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.

20 30 40 50 2025 2026 Duncan 51 United States 27
20 30 40 50 2025 2026
  • Duncan51
  • United States27

Homes for sale

Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.

200 300 400 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Duncan 265
200 300 400 2018 2022 2026
  • Duncan265

New listings per month

Sellers arriving at the market.

40 60 80 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Duncan 56
40 60 80 2018 2022 2026
  • Duncan56

Median sale price

What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.

$100,000 $200,000 $300,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Duncan $147,927 United States $371,407
$100,000 $200,000 $300,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Duncan$147,927
  • United States$371,407

Sale-to-list ratio

Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.

96.0% 96.5% 97.0% 97.5% 2026 Duncan 95.74%
96.0% 96.5% 97.0% 97.5% 2026
  • Duncan95.74%