States · MO · metro

Warrensburg, Missouri.

Is it a buyer's or a seller's market? Six dials, updated monthly — speed, supply and seller behaviour, not just prices.

Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 3 Warrensburg listings, and the typical home goes pending in 21 days — the market is roughly in balance.

Zillow's own model expects Warrensburg home values to change +1.9% over the year to Sep 2027. A forecast, not a promise — it is revised every month, and Zillow publishes it with that caveat.

What it costs per month · Warrensburg $1,491/mo

to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$791 (+113%) since Jan 2020.

What the home itself did
1 year
Up $10,919 +4%
$273,209$284,129 since Sep 2025
5 years
Up $46,968 +20%
$237,161$284,129 since Sep 2021

Monthly payment to buy the typical home

Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.

$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Warrensburg $1,491 United States $1,922
$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2002 2010 2018 2026
  • Warrensburg$1,491
  • United States$1,922

At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 19 years.

Typical home values in Warrensburg, MO rose 4.0% over the past year — faster than the nation's +1.2%.

Asking rents in Warrensburg, MO rose 6.5% over the past year — faster than the nation's +2.7%.

Owning the typical home in Warrensburg runs $846/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $928 in Oct 2023.

That is $1,953 a month against $1,106 rent: a $1,491 mortgage payment, plus $157 property tax and $304 insurance & upkeep.

Owning vs renting — Warrensburg

The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.

$1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Owning all in $1,953 Renting $1,106 Mortgage only $1,491
$1,000 $1,500 $2,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Owning all in$1,953
  • Renting$1,106
  • Mortgage only$1,491

Property tax · $157/mo 0.66% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for 2 counties

Insurance & upkeep · $304/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.

Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.

When this market ran hot

Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.

JFMAMJJASOND
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
falling flat warming hot overheating runaway

Share of listings with a price cut

The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.

10% 20% 30% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg 31.10% United States 26.90%
10% 20% 30% 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg31.10%
  • United States26.90%

Days to pending

How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.

10 20 30 40 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg 21 United States 27
10 20 30 40 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg21
  • United States27

Homes for sale

Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.

150 200 250 300 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg 226
150 200 250 300 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg226

New listings per month

Sellers arriving at the market.

40 60 80 100 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg 75
40 60 80 100 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg75

Median sale price

What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.

$150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg $293,711 United States $371,407
$150,000 $200,000 $250,000 $300,000 $350,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg$293,711
  • United States$371,407

Sale-to-list ratio

Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.

96% 98% 100% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Warrensburg 98.40%
96% 98% 100% 2018 2022 2026
  • Warrensburg98.40%