States · Arizona · Maricopa County

Mesa, Arizona.

Typical home $428,871 (-0.7% in a year), asking rent $1,532 (-0.2%). Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro.

What it costs per month · Mesa $2,251/mo

to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$1,195 (+113%) since Jan 2020.

What the home itself did
1 year
Down $3,117 -1%
$431,988$428,871 since Sep 2025
5 years
Up $28,037 +7%
$400,834$428,871 since Sep 2021

Monthly payment to buy the typical home

Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.

$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Mesa $2,251 Arizona $2,187 United States $1,922
$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2002 2010 2018 2026
  • Mesa$2,251
  • Arizona$2,187
  • United States$1,922

At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 51 years.

Typical home values in Mesa, AZ fell 0.7% over the past year — slower than the nation's +1.2%.

Asking rents in Mesa, AZ fell 0.2% over the past year — slower than the nation's +2.7%.

Owning the typical home in Mesa runs $1,335/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $1,506 in Oct 2023.

That is $2,867 a month against $1,532 rent: a $2,251 mortgage payment, plus $157 property tax and $459 insurance & upkeep.

Owning vs renting — Mesa

The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.

$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Owning all in $2,867 Renting $1,532 Mortgage only $2,251
$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Owning all in$2,867
  • Renting$1,532
  • Mortgage only$2,251

Property tax · $157/mo 0.44% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for Maricopa County, AZ

Insurance & upkeep · $459/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.

Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.

Living in Mesa, Maricopa County, Arizona

Mesa is a city of 504,258 people in Maricopa County. Half its households earn more than $82,752 a year and half less, against $89,300 across Maricopa County; 10% of its people live below the poverty line. 64% of its homes are lived in by their owners and 36% are rented. Unemployment in Mesa was 4.7% in August 2026, and Maricopa County had 0.4% more jobs in 2025 than the year before. The most residents work in schools and health care, then professional services.

People 504,258 in the 2020 census; median age 37.4
Household income $82,752 the median, give or take $1,662 · Maricopa County: $89,300
Unemployment 4.7% Mesa, August 2026; 4.2% a year before
Homes 64% lived in by their owners; 36% rented

Written by AI Claude Sonnet 5.5 wrote this on 23 October 2026 from the figures here, a list of nearby places and what it knows. It can be wrong or out of date.

What it’s like

The place. Mesa is a large city in Maricopa County, with a population that has grown to one of the biggest in Arizona. Household incomes sit a little below the county's, and homes are lived in by their owners more often than not, though a good number of households rent. Winters are mild, with cool nights in December, and summers are very hot, with July the warmest month and little rain or snow through the year.

Work. Residents work mostly in schools, hospitals and social care, in professional and business services, in shops, and in restaurants, hotels and entertainment. Some of the largest workplaces in Mesa are the Mesa Unified District, The Boeing Company and Banner Desert Medical Center. A fair number of people work from home, and most others have a commute of a typical length for a metro area.

Things to do. Sloan Park, a stadium, and the Arizona Museum of Natural History are both a short drive away. For a longer outing, the Phoenix Zoo and the Desert Botanical Garden, a botanical garden, are a longer drive away. The Heard Museum, also a longer drive away, rounds out the choices for a day trip.

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  • 198,498households
  • 32%of adults have a degree
  • 10%below the poverty line
  • 25 mintypical commute
  • 19%work from home

What residents work in

  • Schools, hospitals and social care20%
  • Professional and business services14%
  • Shops (retail)13%
  • Restaurants, hotels and entertainment9%
  • Banks, insurance and property9%
  • Manufacturing9%

Employed residents by industry, from the Census survey. Maricopa County had 2,289,324 jobs in 2025, 0.4% more than the year before (Bureau of Labor Statistics).

Weather through the year

Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in December, 66° and 40°; warmest in July, 106° and 79° 40° 60° 80° 100° J F M A M J J 106° 79° A S O N D 66° 40°
Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in December, 66° and 40°; warmest in July, 106° and 79° 40° 60° 80° 100° J F M A M J J 106° 79° A S O N D 66° 40°

Coldest in December, with highs near 66° and lows near 40°; warmest in July, with highs near 106° and lows near 79°. About 11 inches of rain and melted snow a year.

Average daily high and low, 1991–2020, at the East Mesa weather station, 4 miles away (NOAA).

Largest workplaces in Mesa

  1. Mesa Unified District (4235)School district7,509FTE
  2. The Boeing CompanyAircraft manufacturing4,212
  3. Banner Desert Medical CenterGeneral hospital2,649FTE
  4. City of MesaPolice departments2,538
  5. DexcomIn-vitro diagnostic substances manufacturing2,091
  6. Mesa Community CollegeTwo-year college1,814
  7. Dragonfly Health - CorporateMedical supplies merchant wholesalers1,660
  8. AmazonGeneral warehousing and storage1,187

Staff on average in 2025, as each workplace reported it to OSHA with its injury records: 271 workplaces with 20 or more staff, 44,054 people in all. School districts come from the Common Core of Data (NCES, 2023–24), hospitals from their Medicare cost reports (CMS, 2023) and colleges from IPEDS (NCES, 2023–24); FTE marks full-time equivalent staff. Not listed: many offices and banks, which need not report to OSHA; military bases, whose staff OPM withholds; and, in about half the states, city and county governments.

Natural hazards

  1. Heat wavesVery high
  2. Inland floodingrelatively high in parts of MesaRelatively moderate
  3. HailRelatively moderate

FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the risk each natural hazard poses to the people, buildings and farms in Mesa’s census tracts, against the rest of the country; all of them together, relatively moderate. It is meant for planning, not a substitute for a local risk assessment or a flood map: FEMA’s index.

From the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2020 census and its American Community Survey (2020–2024 five-year estimates), and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A survey, so each figure has a margin of error, and figures it is not sure of are left out. More on Maricopa County and the Phoenix-Mesa-Chandler, AZ metro.

Mesa home values

Zillow measures a city over its municipal boundary. Against the state and national figures, mid-tier homes, smoothed and seasonally adjusted.

$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Mesa $428,871 Arizona $416,733 United States $366,157
$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa$428,871
  • Arizona$416,733
  • United States$366,157
Property tax, 2026 roll $1,534/yr median bill inside Mesa, effective 0.35% of estimated value — current assessment rolls, AssessorSearch Data Lab, quality-gated against the county's official figures

Levy by levy, and a check of one home’s own bill, the site covers Ohio’s property tax.

Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 3 Mesa listings, and the typical home goes pending in 30 days — the market is heating up.

When this market ran hot

Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.

JFMAMJJASOND
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
falling flat warming hot overheating runaway

Market heat, inside the city limits

Share of listings with a price cut

The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.

10% 20% 30% 40% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa 34.70% United States 26.90%
10% 20% 30% 40% 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa34.70%
  • United States26.90%

Days to pending

How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.

10 20 30 40 50 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa 30 United States 27
10 20 30 40 50 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa30
  • United States27

Homes for sale

Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.

1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa 1,870
1,250 1,500 1,750 2,000 2,250 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa1,870

New listings per month

Sellers arriving at the market.

500 600 700 800 900 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa 545
500 600 700 800 900 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa545

Median sale price

What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.

$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa $422,615 United States $371,407
$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa$422,615
  • United States$371,407

Sale-to-list ratio

Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.

97.5% 100.0% 102.5% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Mesa 98.09%
97.5% 100.0% 102.5% 2018 2022 2026
  • Mesa98.09%

Zip codes with a Mesa address

A different geography, not a breakdown. The figure above covers the municipality; these zips cover everywhere the Post Office calls Mesa — often including townships beyond the city limits. Both come straight from Zillow, and they are not expected to average out.

Zip codes in Mesa

Zip activate to sort by Zip Place activate to sort by Place Population sorted descending, activate to sort ascending Rent activate to sort by Rent Home value activate to sort by Home value
85204 Mesa 65,155 $1,376 $387,919
85212 Mesa 55,283 $2,199 $553,659
85201 Mesa 51,400 $1,390 $355,411
85207 Mesa 51,178 $2,116 $546,183
85205 Mesa 45,116 $1,770 $400,067
85209 Mesa 43,150 $1,923 $440,669
85210 Mesa 39,015 $1,418 $357,946
85202 Mesa 38,750 $1,310 $389,081
85203 Mesa 38,035 $1,291 $443,809
85206 Mesa 37,235 $1,697 $379,962
85208 Mesa 37,225 $1,899 $372,968
85213 Mesa 36,836 $1,629 $550,216
85215 Mesa 16,888 $2,265 $500,216