States · Florida · Hillsborough County

Valrico, Florida.

Typical home $413,453 (-1.5% in a year), asking rent $2,536 (+3.0%). Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro.

What it costs per month · Valrico $2,170/mo

to buy the typical home at today's mortgage rate — +$1,183 (+120%) since Jan 2020.

What the home itself did
1 year
Down $6,301 -2%
$419,753$413,453 since Sep 2025
5 years
Up $61,768 +18%
$351,685$413,453 since Sep 2021

Monthly payment to buy the typical home

Home value × that month's 30-year mortgage rate, 20% down, principal and interest. This is the line households feel: prices and rates compound each other.

$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2002 2006 2010 2014 2018 2022 2026 Valrico $2,170 Florida $1,970 United States $1,922
$500 $1,000 $1,500 $2,000 $2,500 2002 2010 2018 2026
  • Valrico$2,170
  • Florida$1,970
  • United States$1,922

At the last five years' pace, a typical home here doubles in price every 21 years.

Typical home values in Valrico, FL fell 1.5% over the past year — slower than the nation's +1.2%.

Asking rents in Valrico, FL rose 3.0% over the past year — faster than the nation's +2.7%.

Owning the typical home in Valrico runs $356/mo more than renting one. The gap peaked at $860 in Oct 2023.

That is $2,892 a month against $2,536 rent: a $2,170 mortgage payment, plus $279 property tax and $443 insurance & upkeep.

Owning vs renting — Valrico

The owning line is the typical home's monthly payment at that month's rate, plus property tax and insurance & upkeep; the renting line is the typical asking rent; the grey line is the mortgage payment on its own. Same homes, same months, both ways of paying for a roof.

$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Owning all in $2,892 Renting $2,536 Mortgage only $2,170
$1,000 $2,000 $3,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Owning all in$2,892
  • Renting$2,536
  • Mortgage only$2,170

Property tax · $279/mo 0.81% of value a year — the ACS 2020-2024 median bill over the median home value for Hillsborough County, FL

Insurance & upkeep · $443/mo insurance, maintenance and repairs together, from the BLS Consumer Expenditure Survey — the national figure for mortgaged homeowners, scaled to this market's home value. BLS publishes the three bundled and they cannot be split.

Both are priced off the same month's home value, so they rise with the market. Neither is a quote — a specific home's bill depends on its assessment, its age and its insurer.

Living in Valrico, Hillsborough County, Florida

Valrico, in Hillsborough County, had 37,895 people in the 2020 census. Half its households earn more than $104,839 a year and half less, against $79,540 across Hillsborough County; 10% of its people live below the poverty line. 79% of its homes are lived in by their owners and 21% are rented. Unemployment in Hillsborough County was 4.6% in August 2026, and the county had 0.8% more jobs in 2025 than the year before. The most residents work in schools and health care, then professional services.

People 37,895 in the 2020 census; median age 44.5
Household income $104,839 the median, give or take $6,778 · Hillsborough County: $79,540
Unemployment 4.6% Hillsborough County, August 2026; 4.3% a year before
Homes 79% lived in by their owners; 21% rented

Written by AI Claude Sonnet 5.5 wrote this on 23 October 2026 from the figures here, a list of nearby places and what it knows. It can be wrong or out of date.

What it’s like

The place. Valrico is a suburban community in Hillsborough County where most homes are lived in by their owners. Incomes run well above the county's, and the poverty rate is fairly low. Residents tend to be older than in many places, and a good share of adults hold a four-year degree. Winters are mild, summers are hot, and rain falls steadily through the year, with little or no snow.

Work. Residents work mostly in schools, hospitals and social care, followed by professional and business services, shops, and banks, insurance and property. Many have a long drive to work, though a fair number work from home. Within Valrico itself, the largest workplaces include Publix Super Markets, Winn-Dixie and a Wawa convenience store. Unemployment across Hillsborough County is a little higher than a year ago, while the number of jobs has edged up.

Things to do. The MidFlorida Credit Union Amphitheatre, a theatre venue, is a short drive away. A longer drive brings you to Busch Gardens Tampa, a zoo and amusement park, and to Alafia River State Park, a protected area for time outdoors. The Salvador Dalí Museum is also a longer drive away for an afternoon indoors.

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  • 14,437households
  • 38%of adults have a degree
  • 10%below the poverty line
  • 32 mintypical commute
  • 24%work from home

What residents work in

  • Schools, hospitals and social care23%
  • Professional and business services16%
  • Shops (retail)13%
  • Banks, insurance and property10%
  • Restaurants, hotels and entertainment8%
  • Manufacturing6%

Employed residents by industry, from the Census survey. Hillsborough County had 795,729 jobs in 2025, 0.8% more than the year before (Bureau of Labor Statistics).

Weather through the year

Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in January, 75° and 50°; warmest in July, 94° and 73° 50° 60° 70° 80° 90° 100° J 75° 50° F M A M J J 94° 73° A S O N D
Average daily high and low for each month: coldest in January, 75° and 50°; warmest in July, 94° and 73° 50° 60° 70° 80° 90° 100° J 75° 50° F M A M J J 94° 73° A S O N D

Coldest in January, with highs near 75° and lows near 50°; warmest in July, with highs near 94° and lows near 73°. About 56 inches of rain a year, and little or no snow.

Average daily high and low, 1991–2020, at the Plant City weather station, 9 miles away (NOAA).

Largest workplaces in Valrico

  1. Publix Super MarketsSupermarkets and other grocery stores207
  2. Winn-Dixie Stores, Inc.Supermarket61
  3. Wawa SiteConvenience store33

Staff on average in 2025, as each workplace reported it to OSHA with its injury records: 3 workplaces with 20 or more staff, 301 people in all. Not listed: many offices and banks, which need not report to OSHA; military bases, whose staff OPM withholds; and, in about half the states, city and county governments.

Natural hazards

  1. HurricanesRelatively high
  2. TornadoesRelatively high
  3. Cold wavesRelatively high
  4. Inland floodingRelatively high
  5. Lightningrelatively high in parts of ValricoRelatively moderate

FEMA’s National Risk Index (December 2025) rates the risk each natural hazard poses to the people, buildings and farms in Valrico’s census tracts, against the rest of the country; all of them together, relatively moderate. It is meant for planning, not a substitute for a local risk assessment or a flood map: FEMA’s index.

From the U.S. Census Bureau’s 2020 census and its American Community Survey (2020–2024 five-year estimates), and the Bureau of Labor Statistics. A survey, so each figure has a margin of error, and figures it is not sure of are left out. More on Hillsborough County and the Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL metro.

Valrico home values

Zillow measures a city over its municipal boundary. Against the state and national figures, mid-tier homes, smoothed and seasonally adjusted.

$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 Valrico $413,453 Florida $375,361 United States $366,157
$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 $450,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico$413,453
  • Florida$375,361
  • United States$366,157
Property tax, 2026 roll $3,854/yr median bill inside Valrico, effective 0.88% of estimated value — current assessment rolls, AssessorSearch Data Lab, quality-gated against the county's official figures

Levy by levy, and a check of one home’s own bill, the site covers Ohio’s property tax.

Sellers are cutting prices on about 1 in 3 Valrico listings, and the typical home goes pending in 23 days — the market is heating up.

When this market ran hot

Each cell is that month's year-on-year home-value growth. Read left to right, top row is the latest year — the 2021–22 band is the boom.

JFMAMJJASOND
2026
2025
2024
2023
2022
2021
2020
2019
2018
falling flat warming hot overheating runaway

Market heat, inside the city limits

Share of listings with a price cut

The early-warning dial: sellers cut when buyers stop reaching. Rising cuts cool a market months before prices notice.

10% 20% 30% 40% 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico 35.41% United States 26.90%
10% 20% 30% 40% 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico35.41%
  • United States26.90%

Days to pending

How long the typical listing takes to go under contract.

10 20 30 40 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico 23 United States 27
10 20 30 40 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico23
  • United States27

Homes for sale

Active for-sale inventory. More supply hands power to buyers.

150 200 250 300 350 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico 285
150 200 250 300 350 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico285

New listings per month

Sellers arriving at the market.

50 75 100 125 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico 84
50 75 100 125 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico84

Median sale price

What buyers actually paid — closed sales, not asking prices.

$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico $403,432 United States $371,407
$250,000 $300,000 $350,000 $400,000 2018 2022 2026
  • Valrico$403,432
  • United States$371,407

Sale-to-list ratio

Above 100%, homes sell over asking; below, buyers negotiate wins.

97.5% 100.0% 102.5% 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 Valrico 98.14%
97.5% 100.0% 102.5% 2020 2022 2024 2026
  • Valrico98.14%

Zip codes with a Valrico address

A different geography, not a breakdown. The figure above covers the municipality; these zips cover everywhere the Post Office calls Valrico — often including townships beyond the city limits. Both come straight from Zillow, and they are not expected to average out.

Zip codes in Valrico